FerryCast
Route Saltery Bay – Earls Cove
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Friday · peak summer

8 sailings

Every departure, what it usually does, and the hour you would have had to arrive.

Easiest sailings before 09:25, after 14:30
Hardest stretch 09:25–11:45
05:35 room most days 80% 03:36 5 07:25 room most days 80% 05:53 5 09:25 expect to wait 20% 09:15 5 11:45 expect to wait 40% 11:02 5 14:30 toss-up 60% 13:59 5 16:55 room most days 100% — 5 19:05 room most days 80% — 5 21:00 room most days 80% — 5
had room filled up waited one waited two+ *no exact match, so the search was widened — open a sailing to see how Friday · peak summer · 40 comparable sailings
Marine forecast · ECCC Wind northwest 5 to 15 knots becoming light late overnight then becoming northwest 5 to 15 near noon Saturday. Wind becoming light Saturday evening. Showers ending Saturday morning. Risk of thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and evening. Strait of Georgia - north of Nanaimo · Tonight and Saturday. · issued 35 days ago
At Saltery Bay · ECCC Chance of showers · low 12 °C Powell River · Tonight · issued 35 days ago

FerryCast

Friday · peak summer

Leaving from

Scheduled departure

19:05

Actual departure

19:17

12 min late

5 comparable sailings

20% ran out of room
4had space
1filled

Of the 1 that filled: 1 filled and still took everyone — the tightest kind of success. The split is broken down under “How the 5 went.”

The board reported on 5 of the 5; camera frames or line reports sharpened 4 of those.

How the 5 went

  • Space the whole time 4 · 80%
  • Ran out of room 1 · 20%
  • Took everyone anyway 1 board + line
  • Cancelled 0 · 0%

“Took everyone anyway” is the board’s capacity notice resolved by someone who was in the line — the margin nobody can otherwise see.

More than one kind of evidence — camera frames, the board, or first-hand reports.

Not enough exact matches, so the search was widened to all seasons; then widened to +/-60 min; then widened to include days outside a long weekend, which behave differently.

Tags for this date: long_weekend

8 sailing(s) had no usable record and are excluded.

See the 5 dates
DateTimeOutcomeLeft behindPeak
2026-10-09 19:05 filled up no moderate
2026-10-02 19:05 made it no one has said —
2026-09-25 19:05 made it no moderate
2026-09-18 19:05 made it no moderate
2026-09-11 19:05 made it no moderate

The outcome is about the vessel — whether it ran out of room, which the board can see and no camera can. “Left behind” is about the approach road, which only a camera residual or somebody in the line can see; “no one has said” means neither did, which is not the same as no. Peak is how full the compound got; older sailings show a vehicle count, and a “+” there means the queue ran past the edge of the camera frame.

When did the queue build?

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NW 5–15 kt Chance of showers

Forecast

On the water

Wind NW 5–15 kt
Visibility Showers ending Saturday morning. Risk of thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and evening.

Wind northwest 5 to 15 knots becoming light late overnight then becoming northwest 5 to 15 near noon Saturday. Wind becoming light Saturday evening.

Issued 35 days ago · Environment and Climate Change Canada, Strait of Georgia - north of Nanaimo · Tonight and Saturday.

At Saltery Bay

Weather Chance of showers
Low 12 °C
Chance of precipitation 40%

Periods of rain ending this evening then mainly cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers. Low 12.

Issued 35 days ago · Environment and Climate Change Canada, Powell River · Tonight

From the line

No one has reported this sailing.

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